At least 52 incidents in 17 European countries over six months are linked to the hybrid war of Russia and Belarus

Between 1 April and 15 October 2026, at least 52 incidents occurred in 17 European countries that may be linked to the hybrid war of Russia and Belarus against Europe. This comes from a tally cited by non-state Belarusian outlets and a foreign outlet on Telegram. It is the assessment of the compilation's authors: in 48 cases, authorities, security services or other officials linked the incidents to Moscow or described them as a possible part of its operations, and four more episodes are linked to actions by Belarus.

First — Poland. It has the most recorded cases: nine. They include the killing of a Kremlin opponent, the émigré artist Semyon Skrepetsky.

Second — Romania and Latvia. Six episodes were counted in each country.

Third — Lithuania. Five episodes were recorded there, including hundreds of attempts to breach the border. Among the actions attributed to Minsk are weather balloons flying in that disrupted the operation of Vilnius airport, and surveillance of opposition figures who have emigrated.

Fourth — Germany. Attempted attacks on Leipzig airport and the Wunstorf air base were noted there.

Fifth — the border with Poland. During the investigation, at least 250 attempts to cross the Polish border illegally from the Belarusian side were recorded.